返回列表 回復 發帖

結婚數目 - 死亡數目

https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/hkstat/sub/so20_tc.jsp
結婚數目 60500
死亡數目 43900
假設兩位死亡數目releases one apartment unit, then 43900/2 = 21950 (the fact should be many of these would not own or rent an apartment before dead, so this number should be bigger than it really is)

60500 - 21950 = 38550 <-- this is a must exist demand every year

https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/hkstat/sub/so100_tc.jsp
新落成的住宅單位 19900

38550 - 19900 = 18650
There is no way to calculate the demand by single person, Chinese from mainland to live / work, students rent. If we count all of these as 10% more, then the shortage would be:

38550*(1.1) - 19900 = 22505

This is the shortage per year, which means next year would be 22505 * 2 and so on...
recycle ?
K
返回列表